Often, bets on weak but motivated teams give a profit over the course. After all, one winning bet is enough to compensate for several previous losses and receive income. Let's take a detailed look at the football underdog betting strategy, find out how to choose matches and which markets are suitable.
Positive Handicap
We will bet on the positive handicap of a weak team. But before that, we look at the statistics of the results of personal meetings of opponents to make sure that the underdog is able not to lose big. We are also convinced of the inflated odds of bookmakers https://pinup-games.in/betting.php
Suppose we see that only in one match out of five the conditional favorite beat the underdog with a difference of more than one goal. Moreover, in two matches the guests won. We now look at the results of the last five home games of the favorite and five away meetings of the opponent.
We determine that a strong team won big only once, and the underdog lost the same number of times with a big difference. Well, for the sake of completeness, let's say that the bookmaker's coefficient to the market (+1.5) for the underdog is 2.1.
This means that we have found a favorable rate. After all, the “weak” team has a little more than 50% of the matches in which it did not lose with a difference of 2 or more goals. By the same algorithm, you can find other fights between favorites and outsiders.