From the best NFL games to bet this weekend, to the ones you should steer clear of, check out Sean Brennan's guide to get you through the weekend a winner. Then check out how the rest of our crew of pigskin experts see this weekend's action as they pick against the spread.
GIANTS at BENGALS
1 p.m., Ch. 5, Giants by 4?, 48?
BRENNAN’S BUZZ: First the good news. The Giants have yet to lose back-to-back games this season and with a division full of has-beens (Cowboys and
Michael Kors Hamilton Large Tote Eagles) and flatliners (the Deadskins), a division title is more or less a fait accompli. (That’s French for ‘done deal.’). But there is the little matter this week of Big Blue playing a desperate Bengals team that has dropped four straight. The Giants are also playing in a city where they have never won in five tries dating back to the Spider Lockhart days of 1972. But the Giants do have some things going for them, mostly due to the Bengals: Cincy is on at least a four-game losing streak for the fourth time in the last six seasons; last week Andy Dalton became the first QB in Bengals history to throw an INT in eight straight games and Cincinnati has lost 10 straight games to teams that are piloted by a Super Bowl quarterback. Their last win in such games came against Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers in 2009. The Blue Man Group hasn’t been putting anyone away lately and while it should end its Cincy losing streak, it will be close.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bengals and the under
JETS at SEAHAWKS
4:05 p.m., Ch. 2, Seahawks by 6, 38?
BRENNAN’S BUZZ: You can bet your last dollar the Jets coaching staff had Shonn
Michael Kors Tote Greene locked in the video room in Florham Park all week watching film of Adrian Peterson taking apart the Seahawks defense for 182 yards. A sound plan until you come to the realization that Shonn Greene is certainly no Adrian Peterson. And even with Peterson’s performance last week,
Michael Kors Hamilton Large the Vikings still lost in Seattle. The Seahawks’ home nest is one of the more inhospitable destinations for visitors as Seattle is unbeaten there this season, with wins over the Cowboys, Packers, Patriots and Vikings. The Jets have also had their share of problems stopping the run and here comes Marshawn Lynch, who has already has five 100-yard rushing games in 2012 and is 119 yards shy of a 1,000-yard season. Oh, and did I mention Seattle QB Russell Wilson has thrown for nine TDs at home with nary an INT? The Jets’ season sinks some more in a place where road teams go to die.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Seahawks and the under
LIONS at VIKINGS
1 p.m., Lions by 2, 47
BRENNAN’S BUZZ: Was watching “The Walking Dead” on DVR the other night and imagine my surprise when Christian Ponder showed up in a guest role as one of the zombies wandering the countryside. He was very convincing. More convincing than he has been as an NFL quarterback of late. Last week in Seattle, Ponder managed all of 63 passing yards in Minny’s road
Michael Kors Tote loss. It was the second time in the past three games that Ponder had thrown for fewer than 64 yards. Zombies, it should be pointed out, make horrific QBs. On the flip side, the Lions have now added another offensive weapon to their arsenal in Mikel Leshoure
Michael Michael Kors Hamilton Large Tote and he’s coming off a three-touchdown performance vs. the Jags. After a 4-1 start, the Vikings are headed to the NFC basement.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Lions and the over
CHIEFS at STEELERS
Monday, 8:30 p.m. ESPN; Steelers by 12, 42?
BRENNAN’S BUZZ: After I saw Ponder’s performance in “The Walking Dead,” (see: Vikings-Lions), can it be long before the entire Chiefs team is called in for a group cameo? If you like bad football, then pull up a chair Monday night and enjoy the carnage. The Chiefs come in on a five-game losing streak, have not won a game in the Steel City since Dec. 21, 1986, (about two months after “the ball gets by Buckner...”) and have not held a lead at any point in any game this season covering 488 minutes and 33 seconds. Wow, do you know how hard it is to be that bad? Yet the Chiefs make it look so easy. Brady Quinn is expected to start at QB for KC if he passes his concussion tests. My advice ― fake it, Brady, and sit this one out.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Steelers and the under
BILLS at PATRIOTS
1 p.m., Patriots by 11, 52
BRENNAN’S BUZZ: The Annual AFC East Sheep-to-the-Slaughter Game. It appears the Evil NFL Schedule Maker has it in for the Bills again this year. Every season it’s more of the same for Buffalo as the Bills are routinely forced to play two games every season against the Pats. This does not make the Bills happy, though it pleases Bill Belichick to no end. Since December 2000, the Bills have faced New England 22 times and 20 times they have come away losers. And while that may be harder to believe than Al Gore inventing the Internet, it won’t change anytime soon as the Evil NFL Schedule Maker has already declared the Bills will again face the Patriots twice again next season.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Patriots and the under
FALCONS at SAINTS
1 p.m., Falcons by 2, 53?
BRENNAN’S BUZZ: All good things must come to an end and this week the party is over for the Saints. New Orleans comes in having won the last three meetings versus Atlanta and 10 of the past 12. That 10-2 mark is since Sean Payton took over in New Orleans in 2006. Only there is no Sean Payton this season ― and no Darren Sproles (broken hand) this week. The Saints’ ‘D’ allows 176.5 rushing yards and 295 through the air. Matt Ryan finally takes out all his Saints-induced frustrations this week ― as do Julio Jones, Roddy White and Michael Turner as the Saints say RIP to their playoff hopes.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Falcons and the over
RAIDERS at RAVENS
1 p.m., Ravens by 7?, 46
BRENNAN’S BUZZ: We’re still two weeks from Thanksgiving but if the Ravens are looking for something to be thankful for ― other than being in first place despite an unusually leaky run defense ― it’s that the Raiders are coming to town. Not only will the Raiders tote their anemic running game into the Charm City, but they will do so with their two leading rushers ― Darren McFadden and Mike Goodson ― hobbled by injuries. If that pair is unable to go, or is limited, the bulk of the workload will fall on the shoulders of Taiwan Jones. Oh, and did I mention the Ravens have won 14 straight at home since December 2010? Bow your heads and say thanks, all you Ravens.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Ravens and the under
BRONCOS at PANTHERS
1 p.m., Broncos by 4, 47?
BRENNAN’S BUZZ: Denver coach John Fox returns to Carolina for the first time since he and the Panthers parted ways after the 2010 season and you know Fox would love to ask Carolina the following: “How do you like me now?” After leading Denver to the playoffs last season (his first in Denver), Fox has the Broncs riding a three-game winning streak and a cushy schedule the rest of the way that sees only a roadie in Baltimore as a severe test. Peyton Manning has 37 TD passes in his last 15 regular-season games while Carolina has committed 15 turnovers this season.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Broncos and the under
TEXANS at BEARS
8:20 p.m., Ch. 4, Bears by 1?, 41?
BRENNAN’S BUZZ: My Uncle Ned was pretty tight with a buck. Rumor has it that at his untimely death at 92, he still had his confirmation money in his wallet. And while I can’t confirm that, because we never saw the man’s wallet, it has come to my attention that the Texans are a lot like Uncle Ned. They don’t give anything away. Five times through eight games Houston has played turnover-free football and it leads the NFL with just six turnovers. The defense? Just as cheap, as they have limited opponents to 14 points or less five times. Somewhere, Uncle Ned is smiling and he will continue to do so as the Texans continue their miserly ways.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Texans and the under
COWBOYS at EAGLES
4:25 p.m., Ch. 5, Cowboys by 1, 44?
BRENNAN’S BUZZ: If they ever were to make a sequel to “The Good, the Bad and the Ugly” and called it just “The Bad and the Ugly,” the Cowboys and Eagles might need to get their Screen Actors Guild cards because they’d be perfect for the roles. The Cowboys ― the Bad ― are a combined 123-126 in regular-season games since 1996 while the Eagles ― the Ugly ― have dropped four straight and are missing two key starters on the O-Line, which should reduce Michael Vick to pi?ata status vs. DeMarcus Ware. The loving embrace of Eagles fans gets tighter around Andy Reid’s neck.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Cowboys and the over
BEST OF THE REST
RAMS at 49ERS
4:25 p.m., 49ers by 11, 38?
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Rams and the under
CHARGERS at BUCS
1 p.m., Bucs by 3, 47?
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bucs and the under
LOOK DON'T TOUCH
TITANS at
Michael Kors Tote Bag DOLPHINS
1 p.m., Dolphins by 6, 44 ?
BRENNAN’S BUZZ: The Titans’ defense is said to be resting comfortably after suffering first- and second-degree burns in its 51-20 loss to Chicago last week. But you’d think the ’D’ would be used to it. Five of Tennessee’s six losses have been by at least 21 points. Also, the Titans are allowing opposing QBs to complete over 72% of their passes with 20 touchdowns. Go Fish.
CAN’T HELP YOURSELF?
Dolphins and the under
THIS WEEK'S BEST BET
Broncos: Who’da thought Eric Decker would have seven times more TD grabs than Steve Smith?
RECORD
LAST WEEK: 8-5
OVERALL: 56-72-3
BEST BETS: 5-4
OVER/UNDER: 59-72
New York Daily News
New York Daily News
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